Tag: PBC Case Studies

Process Behavior Chart Case Studies: Separating Signal from Noise

These posts use real-world case studies to show how Process Behavior Charts (PBCs) help leaders distinguish meaningful change from routine variation. Drawing from sports, business metrics, healthcare, media ratings, and experiments, each example demonstrates how common reactions to “up” or “down” numbers often reflect noise—not improvement or decline.

Many of these case studies align with the ideas in my book Measures of Success: reacting less to data, asking better questions, and improving systems instead of blaming people. The goal isn’t better charts—it’s better decisions.

Is Andre Drummond Sustaining His Free Throw Improvements? [Updated 2023]

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Last year, I looked at the free throw statistics of Andre Drummond of the Detroit Pistons. News headlines talked about how much he had improved his free throws, so I looked at one of his performance metrics (free throw percentage) to see if the increase was "signal" or "noise." Why write about basketball? Well, there are lessons that we can learn and apply to our own workplace metrics, as I write about in my book Measures of Success: React Less, Lead Better, Improve More.

Is Bryce Harper a Bust–or Is It Just Variation? A Process...

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tl;dr: Bryce Harper's so-called "bust" seasons weren't busts at all--they were normal variation. When you plot his monthly OPS on a Process Behavior Chart,...

From Webinar Numbers to Real Insight: Using Process Behavior Charts to...

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TL;DR:Single webinar numbers and year-over-year averages often distort reality. By using run charts and Process Behavior Charts, you can separate signal from noise, avoid...

Are NFL Kickers “Regressing” in Field Goal Accuracy?

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TL;DR: A single-season drop in NFL field goal accuracy does not automatically mean kickers are "regressing." Using Process Behavior Charts shows whether the change...

Why Red/Green Metrics Make Us Miss Important Signals

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tl;dr: Red/green metrics and single-point comparisons hide important signals in your data. Time-series charts and Process Behavior Charts reveal when systems actually change--and when...

Is Tom Brady Really Declining? What Process Behavior Charts Reveal About...

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tl;dr: Headlines say Tom Brady is declining because a few stats have dropped, but Process Behavior Charts show his performance is still within routine...

Another Pricing Experiment and Measures on “Measures of Success” – and...

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The last time I ran a short-term book sale -- lowering the Kindle book price of Measures of Success: React Less, Lead Better, Improve...

Measures of Success Related to “Measures of Success” Workshops

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Each time I teach my "Measures of Success" workshop for Catalysis at one of their events, they give me feedback scores from the attendees. I...

Why RAG (Red Amber Green) Metrics Mislead Leaders: Lessons from the...

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TL;DR: Red-amber-green (RAG) dashboards mislead leaders by turning random variation into "red" crises that trigger overreaction and explanation-seeking. The BMJ shows that most performance...

Why Process Behavior Charts Show So Many Points Outside the Limits...

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tl;dr If a Process Behavior Chart shows many points outside the limits, the issue is often the data--not the chart. Plotting moving averages instead...

Why Two Data Points Aren’t a Trend: What NCAA Final Four...

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tl;dr: Two data points aren't a trend. NCAA Final Four TV ratings swing up and down every year, but Process Behavior Charts show this...

Did an Oscars Ceremony With No Host Affect TV Ratings? A...

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tl;dr: Year-to-year changes in Oscars TV ratings are usually just noise, not meaningful signals. Blaming or praising the host (or lack of one) based...
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